Can heat put an end to the coronavirus epidemic?

Published by · Published on April 3, 2020 at 10:12 a.m.
If other kind of viruses such as flue are generally outbreaking in the winter, is it the same for Covid 19? To find out if heat can stop the epidemic, searchers keep on studying this question. Let’s see what the first results have to say.

Is it just a theory or a scientifically proven fact? Some people think the arrival of summer will help to stop the coronavirus epidemic hitting the world thanks to the heat. There are currently searchers working hard to find answers on that matter. Some of them want to believe in it. As a matter of fact, the other types of coronavirus we know usually have a seasonal dynamic and outbreak in cold periods such as winter. Like the flue or a cold, these viruses tend to disappear when summer returns and temperatures rise again.

Yet, the novel coronavirus remains unpredictable because the disease is still little known. Studies have started to deliver their first results. On the World Health Organization’s website, it’s explained that “from the evidence so far, the new coronavirus can be transmitted in ALL areas, including areas with hot and humid weather”. WHO reminds how important it is to respect barrier gestures such as washing your hands very regularly to protect yourself and others around you.

An analysis searchers from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology don’t contradict. Yet, according to a study released in Social Science Research Network on March 19, 2020, other data samples should be taken into account. The study says that most cases have been contaminated in countries “within a temperature range of 3 to 17C […] suggesting that the role of warmer temperature in slowing the spread of the spread of the 2019-nCoV”.

These first results seem to be coherent with the spread of the virus across the world. In Africa, the coronavirus pandemic arrived later than on other continents and the number of cases is relatively lower than in Europe – at the heart of the epidemic. To conclude, searchers thinks the rise of temperatures will not stop the epidemic, but it can help slow its propagation.

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